Abstract

The Indiana Department of Transportation (INDOT) utilizes the International Roughness Index (IRI) and Falling Weight Deflectometer (FWD) data to prioritize pavement maintenance across interstates, state roads, and U.S. highways. While IRI measures ride quality and FWD assesses structural integrity, their threshold values vary by road type, reflecting differing service expectations. Effective pavement maintenance requires a holistic approach, combining surface condition data from IRI with structural insights from FWD through predictive modeling. Additionally, these metrics should not only estimate service life but also provide indications of potential distress types, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of pavement performance and maintenance needs. The study employs a dual methodological approach, combining probabilistic and deterministic modeling techniques to evaluate pavement deterioration and predict performance across various road classifications. A Markov chain probabilistic model is utilized to analyze deterioration rates and assess the likelihood of pavements transitioning between condition states (e.g., very good to poor) for each road category. In parallel, an empirical deterministic approach is applied to develop IRI-based prediction models, enabling cross-comparison of degradation trends and steady-state conditions derived from both methodologies. The deterministic approach further investigates the influence of initial IRI on pavement performance, emphasizing its critical role in maintaining functional performance within acceptable limits. Additionally, the remaining service life and life expectancy of pavements are estimated to establish terminal failure thresholds for different road categories. Finally, the study analyzes FWD data from various roads to predict maintenance priorities by establishing a correlation with IRI. The outcome of the study is the expected use of IRI and FWD data to support INDOT’s commitment to proactive pavement maintenance.

Keywords

falling weight deflectometer (FWD), international roughness index (IRI), Markov chain modeling, pavement service life

Report Number

FHWA/IN/JTRP-2025/13

SPR Number

3902

Performing Organization

Joint Transportation Research Program

Publisher Place

West Lafayette, Indiana

Date of Version

2025

DOI

10.5703/1288284317877

SPR-3902_Technical Summary_Final.pdf (682 kB)
SPR-3902 Technical Summary

INDOT Pavement Preservation.pdf (5940 kB)
FHWA 2010 Report

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