Forecasting Shifts in Hoosiers’ Travel Demand and Behavior

Authors

Rajat Verma, Purdue UniversityFollow
Hao Luo, Purdue UniversityFollow
Saloni Deodhar, Purdue UniversityFollow
Eunhan Ka, Purdue UniversityFollow
Ricardo Chahine, Purdue UniversityFollow
Pallavi Natu, Purdue UniversityFollow
Harshit Malhotra, Purdue UniversityFollow
Vineeth Polisetty, Purdue UniversityFollow
Dutt J. Thakkar, Purdue UniversityFollow
Satish V. Ukkusuri, Purdue UniversityFollow
Hua Cai, Purdue UniversityFollow
Steven R. Dunlop, Purdue UniversityFollow
Anath V. Iyer, University at BuffaloFollow
Konstantina Gkritza, Purdue UniversityFollow

Recommended Citation

Verma, R., Luo, H., Deodhar, S., Ka, E., Chahine, R., Natu, P., Malhotra, H., & Polisetty, V., Thakkar, D. J., Ukkusuri, S. V., Cai, H., Dunlop, S. R., Iyer, A. V., & Gkritza, K. (2023). Forecasting shifts in Hoosiers’ travel demand and behavior (Joint Transportation Research Program Publication No. FHWA/IN/JTRP-2023/28). West Lafayette, IN: Purdue University. https://doi.org/10.5703/1288284317685

DOI

10.5703/1288284317685

Abstract

The changing landscape of transportation technology and traveler behavior, accelerated by recent events like COVID-19, has led to significant shifts in travel demand and vehicle miles traveled in Indiana. This study seeks to understand the long-term implications of these changes and their potential impact on passenger, freight, and micro-mobility movements across the state. To achieve this objective, this project focused on forecasting future transportation demand conditions and carrying out long-range scenario planning by accomplishing four tasks: forecasting travel demand shifts based on location-based data, evaluating medium-term inter- and intra-urban transportation demand shifts, forecasting county-level industry shifts using scenario-based growth models, and providing recommendations and guidance to the Indiana Department of Transportation (INDOT) based on the study results. Results offer improved planning for infrastructure investments and operations, the incorporation of emerging technologies into transportation planning processes, and an enhanced understanding of passenger and freight movements at the statewide and regional levels. Deliverables from this study include valuable tools and models that can help INDOT navigate potential transportation system changes and accommodate the evolving needs of the future.

Report Number

FHWA/IN/JTRP-2023/28

Keywords

travel demand, transport planning, travel behavior, large-scale data, freight, e-commerce

SPR Number

4608

Performing Organization

Joint Transportation Research Program

Sponsoring Organization

Indiana Department of Transportation

Publisher Place

West Lafayette, Indiana

Date of this Version

2023