Restructuring the operational code construct: A psychological assessment of George Bush and events leading to the Gulf War

Joseph Herbert Bond, Purdue University

Abstract

In this study, I delineate, restructure and test the operational code construct at the theoretical and methodological levels. Using the Gulf War as the event and George Bush as the subject, I begin by positing an operational code model loosely based on "a theory of reasoned action" (Ajzen and Fishbein, 1980). I go on to propose several hypothesized operational code variable groupings corresponding to the component parts of the model. Personality trait (Weintraub, 1981) and event interaction (Goldstein, 1992) assessments are included to help account for motivational factors associated with George Bush's decision to use military force in the Gulf. Three questions are addressed: First, is the new model theoretically sound in relation to the operational code variable interrelationships? Second, are George Bush's operational code and personality traits stable throughout the Gulf Crisis period? Finally, what does the data reveal about George Bush and the events surrounding the Gulf Crisis? Although the results of a bivariate analysis suggest that the hypothesized operational code variable groupings are not appropriate, a principle component analysis revealed four new but compatible factors. The results of a one-way analysis of variance revealed that George Bush's personality traits remained statistically stable throughout the Gulf Crisis. All operational code variables, on the other hand, were found to differ significantly in relation to scale intensity and variable salience on a week by week basis. Finally, the operational code data revealed that George Bush's mission and affect orientations were closely related to his propensity to use force. In other words, once Bush became focused and hostile, his propensity to use force was found to increase. The operational code data also suggests that George Bush has a highly developed sense of personal diplomacy. The personality trait assessment revealed that Bush's interpersonal style can be characterized as highly oppositional; his emotional style as expressive, sensitive to criticism, angry, and depressed; and his decision-making style as impulsive.

Degree

Ph.D.

Advisors

Shimko, Purdue University.

Subject Area

International law|International relations|Personality|Linguistics

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