Abstract
Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for improving our understanding of interconnected social-economic-ecological systems, and for analyzing how policy alternatives can shift future trajectories towards more sustainable development. Despite recent scientific and technological advances, key gaps remain in the scientific community’s ability to deliver information to decision-makers at the pace and scale needed to address sustainability challenges. We identify five research frontiers for integrated social-economic-ecological modeling (primarily focused on terrestrial systems) to
incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services: 1) downscaling impacts of direct and indirect drivers on eco- systems; 2) incorporating feedbacks in ecosystems; 3) linking ecological impacts to human well-being, 4) dis- aggregating outcomes for distributional equity considerations, and 5) incorporating dynamic feedbacks of ecosystem services on the social-economic system. We discuss progress and challenges along each of these five frontiers and the science-policy linkages needed to move new research and information into action.
Keywords
Integrated assessment modeling, Ecosystem services, Biodiversity, Sustainable development, Land-use change, Climate change
Date of this Version
8-12-2024
Recommended Citation
Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca; Polasky, Stephen; Alkemade, Rob; Burgess, Neil D.; Cheung, William W.L.; Fetzer, Ingo; Harfoot, Mike; Hertel, Thomas W.; Hill, Samantha L.L.; Johnson, Justin Andrew; Janse, Jan H.; Jeetze, Patrick José v.; Kim, HyeJin; Kuiper, Jan J.; Lonsdorf, Eric; Leclère, David; Mulligan, Mark; Peterson, Garry D.; Popp, Alexander; Roe, Stephanie; Schipper, Aafke M.; Snäll, Tord; Soesbergen, Arnout van; Soterroni, Aline C.; Stehfest, Elke; Vuuren, Detlef P. van; Visconti, Piero; Wang-Erlandsson, Lan; Wells, Geoff; and Pereira, Henrique M., "Integrated Modeling of Nature’s Role in Human Well-Being: A Research Agenda" (2024). Department of Agricultural Economics Faculty Publications. Paper 114.
https://docs.lib.purdue.edu/agedocs/114
Included in
Economics Commons, Food Security Commons, Food Studies Commons
Comments
This is the publisher PDF of Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, Stephen Polasky, Rob Alkemade, Neil D. Burgess, William W.L. Cheung, Ingo Fetzer, Mike Harfoot, Thomas W. Hertel, Samantha L.L. Hill, Justin Andrew Johnson, Jan H. Janse, Patrick José v. Jeetze, HyeJin Kim, Jan J. Kuiper, Eric Lonsdorf, David Leclère, Mark Mulligan, Garry D. Peterson, Alexander Popp, Stephanie Roe, Aafke M. Schipper, Tord Snäll, Arnout van Soesbergen, Aline C. Soterroni, Elke Stehfest, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Piero Visconti, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Geoff Wells, Henrique M. Pereira, Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being: A research agenda, Global Environmental Change, Volume 88, 2024, 102891. Published CC-BY by Elsevier, the version of record and ADA Title II compliant version is also available in HTML at DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891.