A dynamic, quarterly multi-stage partial equilibrium model of the U.S. and Canadian swine industries

Felix J Spinelli, Purdue University

Abstract

The primary objective of this study was to determine the spatial and dynamic production and marketing adjustments in the U.S./Canadian swine sub-sectors and to obtain insights into possible changes in those adjustments given changes in certain endogenous and exogenous factors, including changes in U.S. tariffs on Canadian hog and pork exports to the U.S. and higher feed costs.^ The specific objectives of this study were to: (1) to develop an empirical model capable of determining the spatial and dynamic organization of the U.S./Canadian swine sub-sector such that the total aggregate cost of procurring raw materials, processing and distributing the final product is a minimum and (2) to determine the effect of (a) changes in U.S. tariff policy on Canadian live hogs and pork products, (b) an exogenous cutback of feedgrain supplies brought about by the 1988 drought (although similar feedgrain shortages could have been brought about by selected changes in U.S. farm feedgrain programs, such as the 1983 PIK program) and (c) a shift in endogenous conditions resulting from structural changes in the production and marketing of hogs. ^

Degree

Ph.D.

Advisors

Major Professor: Paul V. Preckel, Purdue University.

Subject Area

Economics, Agricultural

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